APPENDIX K
Personal Income
[APRIL 1, 1998] Michigan personal income (MPI) is the total received by
all resident households from employment, self-employment, investments (dividends,
interest, and rent), and transfer payments (Social Security, welfare, unemployment
benefits). It is a key indicator of the state economys size and health.
There are several ways to analyze state
personal income: total dollars, per capita, disposable, and median family. Year-to-year
comparisons may be made in terms of current dollars (the actual amount each year)
or constant dollars (adjusted for inflationalso referred to as real dollars).
It is also instructive to look at income distribution and how it has changed over time;
for example, what percentage of income is paid to the lowest-earning 20 percent of
households, and how has that share changed over time?
The sources of personal income data for Michigan
are the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the U.S. Bureau of the Census. Total
and per capita income are reported quarterly and annually by the BEA; median and household
income are reported annually by the Census Bureau.
COMPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Exhibit 1 shows that in 1996 the largest source of Michigan
personal income was employment in the service of others or ones self:
wages/salaries, other labor income, and proprietors income comprise a little more
than two-thirds of the total. The remainder comes from dividends/interest/rent and such
transfer payments as Social Security.
The proportion of two personal-income components
has changed significantly in the past 20 years.
Wages/salaries in 1975 and 1996 were 64
percent and 56 percent, respectively, of total personal income.
Dividends/interest/rent
in 1975 and 1996 were 11 percent and 17 percent, respectively, of
total personal income.
The shift from wages/salaries to
dividends/interest/rent income reflects (1) the rising number of investment options, (2)
growth in the number of people investing in stocks and bonds rather than putting their
money in a bank savings account, and (3) a sharp increase in the investment income of
those at the top of the income scale.
TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME
In 1996 total Michigan personal income was $239 billion, nearly 4 percent of total U.S.
personal income. In the last five years, Michigan personal income growth has outpaced the
nations: From 1992 to 1996 (latest data available for Michigan), MPI increased
almost 28 percent, while the U.S. figure rose 23 percent.
If one looks at the 20-year period, however, the
picture is less favorable: From 1976 to 1996 Michigan personal income increased only 277
percent, while nationwide it increased 349 percent; the annual growth rates were roughly 7
percent and 8 percent, respectively. When the figures are adjusted for inflation, MPI
increased 40 percent and U.S. personal income increased 63 percent; the annual rates were
1.7 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively.
Exhibit 2 presents U.S.
and Michigan total and per capita personal income data for 1976 through 1996.
PER CAPITA INCOME
Per capita income is calculated by dividing total personal income by population. A state
with rapid growth in population generally will have faster growth in personal income than
a state with slower population growth. Per capita income provides a measure of the
increase in wealth of each person and is a gauge of whether a state is becoming richer
because of an influx of new residents or because of higher income per person.
In 1996 Michigan per capita income was $24,945,
2.1 percent above the national average and 16th highest among the 50 states. As shown in Exhibit 3, Michigan per capita income has fluctuated significantly as
a share of U.S. personal income, reaching a peak in 1952 at about 19 percent above the
national average. Since 1952 the trend has been downward, interrupted by upturns in the
early 1960s and late 1970s. In the early 1980s Michigan per capita income fell below the
U.S. average due to the severe 198082 recession; the 198792 dip was due to
downsizing in the motor vehicle industry and the recession of the early 1990s. Michigan
per capita income has remained above the national average since 1993.
DISPOSABLE INCOME
Disposable income is total personal income less federal, state, and local taxes. In 1996
Michigan disposable income was $205 billion, 86 percent of total personal income. From
1986 to 1996 Michigan disposable income increased 71 percent; nationally, it increased 76
percent. Adjusted for inflation, Michigans increase was 20 percent (an annual rate
of just over one percent). Per capita, Michigan disposable income in 1996 was $21,378, up
63 percent from 1986.
MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME
A reliable measure of the economic health of families is median household income, the
midpoint of income for all households. For example, if the median income is $30,000, it
means that 50 percent of households have more than that and 50 percent have less.
In 1995 (latest data available) median household
income in Michigan was $36,246, nearly 7 percent above the national average. Adjusted for
inflation, from 1985 to 1995 Michigan median income increased nearly 6 percent; the
national increase was only 2 percent. When adjusted for inflation, Michigan median income
has increased less than one percent since 1990, but nationally, it has dipped more than 2
percent.
INCOME DISTRIBUTION
Exhibit 4 shows the distribution of income among income classes.
The income groups are divided into quintiles, highest 20 percent, second highest 20
percent, and so on. In the highest income group percent are 20 percent of Michigan
families, which have 44 percent of total income (199496). In the lowest income group
are 20 percent of Michigan families, which have only 3.5 percent of total income. Among
the highest earners, the average income is $117,110, almost 13 times that of the lowest.
Over the past 20 years there has been a marked
change in the income distribution, to the benefit of the upper-income group. Since the
1970s the gap between the highest and lowest 20 percent of families has grown 77 percent.
According to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, the gap between rich and poor
increased faster in Michigan than in all but ten states. Adjusted for inflation, from the
late 1970s to the mid-1990s, average family income
fell $4,210 in the poorest quintilefrom
$13,460 to $9,260;
fell
$540 in the middle quintilefrom $46,140 to $45,600; and
rose
$20,850 in the most affluent quintilefrom $96,250 to $117,110.