Crime
BACKGROUND
[APRIL 1, 1998] The Michigan State Police and the Federal Bureau of
Investigation (FBI) classify crimes as index or non-index. The eight index crimes are
murder, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, arson, and motor vehicle
theft. Because of their serious nature, these offenses are considered a better indicator
of the crime situation than is total crime, which includes many minor infractions.
As the exhibit
shows, the rate of index crimes (the number reported per 100,000 people) in Michigan
dropped by more than 2 percent from 1995 to 1996, the last year for which statistics
currently are available. This one-year drop continued a pattern of decline that has seen
index crime rates in Michigan drop by 22 percent in the past five years. Over the
five-year period, the overall rate for both index and non-index crime has dropped by
almost 16 percent.
Murder, rape, robbery, aggravated
assault, burglary, and larceny all dropped substantially over the one-and five-year
periods. Cases of reported motor vehicle theft and arson were up substantially in 1996
over the previous year but not over the five-year period.
Among jurisdictions of more than
10,000 residents, Grosse Ile Township is the safest in Michigan, with a rate of one
reported index crime per 100 residents (1996). Other jurisdictions with notably low crime
rates are Grosse Pointe Woods, Beverly Hills, Berkley, Hamburg Township, Bridgeport
Township, Trenton, Plymouth Township, Lincoln Township, and Davison Township. Benton
Harbor has the highest rate of serious crime, 16.5 per 100 residents, and high rates are
associated with some of Michigans major cities, including Highland Park, Benton
Township, Hamtramck, Detroit, Harper Woods, Flint, Muskegon, River Rouge, and Ypsilanti.
The crime-rate decline in Michigan
over the past five years closely parallels that of the United States as a whole, for which
the rate of serious crime declined every year from 1991 to 1996. Furthermore, the
nations law enforcement agencies report a 4-percent decrease in serious crime for
the first half of 1997.
The dip in adult crime has been
accompanied by at least some decline in juvenile crime. A study underwritten by federal
Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention finds that in 1995 the juvenile
arrest rate for violent crimes dropped for the first time in nearly a decade, although it
still comprises nearly 20 percent of all violent crime. The Michigan State Police reports
that juvenile arrests for violent crime declined by 22 percent over the past five years,
from about 18,400 to 14,200. While analysts believe that juvenile violent crime may well
have declined in Michigan, they stress that some of the apparent drop may be due to
underreporting. (The FBI made several changes in the methodology in recent years, and some
jurisdictions had trouble accommodating the changes and did not report; this also is true
of adult crime.) According to the Uniform Crime Report (UCR), the FBIs standardized
measure of reported crimes, Michigan juvenile arrests as a percentage of total arrests
(about 10 percent on average) remain well below the national norm.
Despite this apparent good news,
combating crime remains high on the public policy agenda. It still is the case that crime
rates are relatively high and exact a substantial social cost. According to the federal
Bureau of Justice Statistics, in 1992 injury or other activities related to the crime
directly cost U.S. crime victims $17.6 billion in property theft or damage, lost cash,
medical expenses, and forgone pay.
Over the past decade Michigan
legislators, in a major bipartisan effort, have adopted several hundred bills to combat
crime and improve law enforcement. Among them are measures (1) requiring the court and
prosecuting attorney to consent before allowing a defendant to waive a jury trial; (2)
revising substantially the procedure for handling cases in which juveniles are charged
with serious property or assault offenses or crimes for which the maximum sentence is
life; (3) substantially strengthening the stringency of Michigans drunk driving
laws; and (4) creating a $10 million grant program to encourage community policing (e.g.,
such efforts as foot patrols, to bring officers into closer touch with citizens).
Governor Engler and the majority
caucus in the Democrat-controlled House each have a crime-fighting agenda for 1998.
Although there is some commonality, their general approach is different. The
governoras he set forth in his 1998 State of the State messagetakes a
law-enforcement approach to crime control; the House majority proposes crime prevention
and stronger community policing. Both the governor and the House leadership, however, have
endorsed Senate Bills 82527 (the "sentencing
guidelines/truth-in-sentencing" package), which have passed the Senate.
An aspect of crime that has been
attracting increasing public concern is gang activity. Although the extent of the problem
is difficult to quantify precisely, the 1997 report of the Michigan Youth Gang Violence
Task Force notes that while Michigan is "not experiencing an epidemic of youth gang
violence," there are gangs in all 83 counties. The task force recommends a number of
law-enforcement and crime-prevention strategies to combat the emerging problem. The
law-enforcement strategies include community policing, technological improvements,
intelligence gathering, interagency cooperation, task forces, strong drug enforcement, and
removing illegal firearms from the street. Recommended prevention strategies include risk
detection, health promotion, family support, positive alternative activities, education,
employment, and community organization.
DISCUSSION
Crime statistics should be viewed with caution.
First, law enforcement practices can alter the number of crimes reported. Second,
reporting is not necessarily uniform nation- or even statewide. Third, the number of
incidents reported may reflect the current public attitude about certain kinds of crimes;
for example, some observers speculate that the increase in the number of rapes may result
from an increased willingness of victims to report the crime. Last, there always is a gap
between reported and unreported crime.
Police and FBI statistics published
in the Uniform Crime Report deal only with reported crime (and data are only as
comprehensive as a local law enforcement units capacity to collect and compile
them). Because of this inherent limitation in the UCR, since 1973 the federal Bureau of
Justice Statistics has conducted the National Criminal Victimization Survey (NCVS). The
NCVS samples households actual experience of crime, both reported and unreported,
and it often reveals a different, although complementary, picture. For example, from 1971
to 1983 the number of agencies reporting in the UCR rose by 34 percent, and the number of
reported crimes also rose sharply; however, the statistical methods used in the NCVS
reveal that crime rates were not rising but actually were stable during that period
(although this is old information, the point still is valid). Similarly, crime rates in
Michigan may be underreported today because some jurisdictions have not adopted the new
reporting system.
The general publics perception
of the crime rate often is swayed by factors other than the number of crimes committed.
Many people believe that the tremendous growth in prison population is due to a continuing
escalation of crime, but this is inaccurate. The prison population in both the United
States and Michigan has soared over the past five years, even as crime rates have dropped.
Similarly, the medias appetite for crime stories can fuel the perception that a
crime problem is more severe than it actually is.
While it is reasonable to suppose
that the many "law and order" measures enacted in recent years have had some
effect on crime rates, it also is true that a number of important factors associated with
the incidence of crime are beyond the reach of public policy. For example, statesand
areas within statesthat have a higher rate of index crimes than others also have
more people aged 1639 (the most crime-prone group), a larger concentration of urban
population, and pockets of poverty that are not benefiting from the current economic boom.
Nevertheless, both the public and the legislature continue to be interested in anti-crime
measures. Among other initiatives, Governor Engler calls for
passing
SB 245, the sentencing guidelines recommended in 1997 by the Michigan
Sentencing Commission,
constructing
5,400 new prison beds,
eliminating
prisoners right to appeal parole denial, and
implementing
"Operation Nighthawk" whereby specialized teams of police
officers and probation/parole agents would be formed to combat gang
activity.
The House Democrats "Safe
Neighborhoods" agenda recommends
directing
available federal funds toward community policing to fight drugs and
gangs,
making
it easier for local citizen groups to evict drug dealers from neighborhoods
and apartment buildings (HBs 426769),
toughening
laws against gang-related crime (HBs 4144, 4145, and 4717),
making
it easier to remove derelict housing, often the site of gang and drug
trafficking activity (HB 5344), and
preventing
juvenile crime, especially through "safe haven," after-school
programs.
Legislators will be keeping in mind
the cost of additional law-and-order legislation. State prisons are overcrowded from the
effect of previous changes to the law, and expanding prison space is extremely expensive.
For example, in FY 19992000, it will cost at least $100 million to operate the
5,400-bed expansion that the governor has proposedand even this wont solve the
overcrowding problem for long.
According to the Michigan Senate
Fiscal Agency and the Michigan Sentencing Guidelines Commission, in less than ten
yearsby 2007laws already on the books will swell Michigans prison
population by 20,000, requiring 20 new prisons, annual debt service of $156 million, and
an annual operating budget of $1.6 billion. Passing the sentencing
guidelines/truth-in-sentencing package could require an additional five prisons, an
additional $40 million in annual debt service, and $100 million more in operating
expenses.
See also
Casinos and Other Legal Gambling; Civil
Rights; Corrections; Death
Penalty; Domestic Violence; Firearm
Regulation; Genetic Cloning and Testing;
Substance Abuse; Traffic
Safety.
FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Judiciary Committee
Michigan House of Representatives
P.O. Box 30014
Lansing, MI 48909-7514
(517) 373-0106
(517) 373-5791 FAX
Judiciary Committee
Michigan Senate
P.O. Box 30036
Lansing, MI 48909-7536
(517) 373-6920
(517) 373-2751 FAX
Michigan Council on Crime and
Delinquency
300 North Washington Square
Lansing, MI 48933
(517) 482-4161
(517) 482-0020 FAX
Michigan Department
of State Police
714 South Harrison Road
East Lansing, MI 48823
(517) 332-2521
(517) 336-6561 FAX
www.michigan.gov/msp
National Criminal Justice Reference
Service
www.ncjrs.org
[The single best source for national criminal justice informationincluding
information on crime, corrections, policing and the courts. The service is a collection of
clearinghouses supported by all bureaus of the U.S. Justice Department and recognized as
one of the most extensive sources of information on criminal and juvenile justice in the
world.]